Natural Resources, Conflict and Growth: Uncovering the Transmission Mechanism


Publisher: Asia and Economic and Financial Review

Author(s): Shahida Wizarat

Date: 2014

Topics: Extractive Resources

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Using panel data and GMM estimators for the developed countries (DCs) and the less developed countries (LDCs) we find a positive and significant impact of conflict on DC GDP and a negative and significant impact on LDC GDP during the period 1980-2009. Our result on conflict is robust irrespective of model specification and country categorization. Both fuel and ores and minerals have a positive and significant impact on GDP in the LDCs in some specifications contradicting the predominant ‘resource curse’ view. While openness has a negative and significant impact on GDP in the LDCs. Government expenditure has a negative and significant impact in DCs in one specification, which is an interesting finding in view of the social expenditure reductions in the DCs post 9/11. The use of panel data ensures that non-stationarity of the variables is not a problem and the use of GMM estimators yields estimates that are not biased on account of endogeneity.