The Trump Administration’s Security-for-Minerals Model Faces Test in the DRC

May 13, 2026 | Chris Dantes
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Minimal progress has been achieved towards a permanent settlement of conflict between the DRC and the Rwanda-backed rebel group M23. Fighting in the eastern Congo persists, and both sides continue to accuse one another of violating the ceasefire. Perceived US favoritism toward Kinshasa has angered Kigali and M23. Recent US sanctions on former Congolese President Joseph Kabila, who allegedly provides political and financial support to M23, have solidified Rwanda's distrust of the peace framework. Mounting frustration from Rwanda risks derailing the fragile peace process. At the same time, Kinshasa perceives itself as the Trump administration’s preferred regional partner, emboldening President Félix Tshisekedi to prolong conflict and consolidate power. Both Rwanda’s frustration and the DRC’s perceived momentum present substantial obstacles to US policy and demonstrate the potential limitations of the security-for-minerals model. Complex historical grievances and regional ambitions underpin the conflict and complicate efforts to secure a lasting settlement. If the security situation continues to degrade, US businesses may hesitate to enter the DRC’s mineral sector, ceding it to rivals like China and complicating the US’ long-term mineral supply chain ambitions.