Somalia: Poor Rains and Rising Costs Drive Urgent Food and Nutrition Needs, with Risk of Famine in One Area
Publisher: Integrated Food Security Phase Classification
Date: 2026
Topics: Public Health, Renewable Resources
Countries: Somalia
Six million people in Somalia - 31 percent of the analysed population - are facing high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above) between April and June 2026, including 1.9 million in Emergency (IPC Phase 4). This marks an increase of more than half a million people compared to the initial projection and reflects a rapidly worsening situation. In this analysis of the updated April–June 2026 projection period, it was found that both food security and nutrition outcomes are worse than initially forecasted in the analysis published in February 2026. The deterioration is driven by poor Gu rainfall, sharp food price spikes linked to the 2026 conflict in the Middle East, depreciation of the Somali Shilling in the south, conflict‑related displacement and rising flood risks.