Climate Risks and Agricultural Changes in Conflict-Affected Myanmar


Publisher: International Food Policy Research Institute

Author(s): Bart Minten, Joanna van Asselt, Zin Wai Aung, and Joseph Goeb

Date: 2026

Topics: Assessment, Climate Change, Disasters

Countries: Myanmar

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Climate change and conflict are increasingly shaping livelihoods in Myanmar, with agricultural households among the most directly affected. Yet, empirical evidence on how these stressors affect farmers’ adaptation strategies and agricultural assets remains limited. The authors draw on unique largescale primary surveys: Over a three-year period, we conducted bi-annual surveys with nearly 5,000 farmers, collecting data on exposure to conflict, natural risks, climate change perceptions, agricultural adaptation, and agricultural land valuation.